Toronto Mortgage Rate Watch

SPECIAL: 5 year fixed 3.99% 5 Year Fixed: 4.34% 5 Year Variable 2.15% 3 Year Variable 2.15% 3 Year Fixed 3.60%

Economic Recovery & Mortgages

U or W?

U or W?

As a Toronto Mortgage broker, my clients rely on my advice not only while they are making their financing decisions but also in the years after making the decision to determine whether they are still on the right road and on track.

As such, I pay attention to the economy. One of my favorite areas of interest is determining what shape (literally) our recovery will take.

Will it be a sharp quick recovery? Usually described as a ‘V’ or will it be a long drawn out recovery with an extended low trough, described as a ‘U’. Or will the recovery take place as a ‘W’ with two very distinct drops. We’ve already had one drop. It seems that we are on the road to recovery with Toronto real estate prices remaining firm, however, I suspect that we haven’t seen the end of the recession. I’m anticipating a second drop.

If you’d like to read more, check out Nouriel Roubini who wrote an insightful article in the Opinions section of today’s Globe & Mail, entitled “Double Dip Recession Threat“.

If you’d like to talk about your mortgage and determine how best to position yourself please don’t hesitate to give me a call. Christopher Molder, Toronto Mortgage Specialist 416.461.0204ext2

Bond Yield For August 19th, 2009

Canadian 5 yr bond yields +0.03 bps to 2.53 – Four weeks ago it was 2.51%. The spread, based on 5 yr fixed rate mortgage of 4.29%,  is at 1.76%.

Pressure on fixed 5 year: Up
Financial Post – Markets

Lenders typically like to keep a spread of 1.80% to 2.00% between their fixed five year rates and the current 5 year bond yield. If the bond yield increases then the spread will shrink putting upward pressure on mortgage interest rates. The reverse is also true. If bond yields decrease then the spread widens and there is downwards pressure on fixed rate mortgages.

Bond Yield for Tuesday August 18th, 2009

Canadian 5 yr bond yields -0.08 bps to 2.50 – Four weeks ago it was 2.51%. The spread, based on 5 yr fixed rate mortgage of 4.29%,  is at 1.79%.

Pressure on fixed 5 year: Down
Financial Post – Markets

Lenders typically like to keep a spread of 1.80% to 2.00% between their fixed five year rates and the current 5 year bond yield. If the bond yield increases then the spread will shrink putting upward pressure on mortgage interest rates. The reverse is also true. If bond yields decrease then the spread widens and there is downwards pressure on fixed rate mortgages.

Bond Yields For Monday Aug 17th, 2009

Canadian 5 yr bond yields -0.03 bps to 2.58 – Four weeks ago it was 2.54%. The spread, based on 5 yr fixed rate mortgage of 4.29%,  is at 1.71%.

Pressure on fixed 5 year: Down
Financial Post – Markets

Lenders typically like to keep a spread of 1.80% to 2.00% between their fixed five year rates and the current 5 year bond yield. If the bond yield increases then the spread will shrink putting upward pressure on mortgage interest rates. The reverse is also true. If bond yields decrease then the spread widens and there is downwards pressure on fixed rate mortgages.

Bond Yield for Friday August 14th, 2009

Canadian 5 yr bond yields -0.00 bps to 2.61 – Four weeks ago it was 2.52%. The spread, based on 5 yr fixed rate mortgage of 4.29%,  is at 1.68%.

Pressure on fixed 5 year: steady
Financial Post – Markets

Lenders typically like to keep a spread of 1.80% to 2.00% between their fixed five year rates and the current 5 year bond yield. If the bond yield increases then the spread will shrink putting upward pressure on mortgage interest rates. The reverse is also true. If bond yields decrease then the spread widens and there is downwards pressure on fixed rate mortgages.

Bond Yields For Wednesday August 12th, 2009

Canadian 5 yr bond yields -0.05bps to 2.61 – Four weeks ago it was 2.52%. The spread, based on 5 yr fixed rate mortgage of 4.29%,  is at 1.68%.

Pressure on fixed 5 year: down
Financial Post – Markets

Lenders typically like to keep a spread of 1.80% to 2.00% between their fixed five year rates and the current 5 year bond yield. If the bond yield increases then the spread will shrink putting upward pressure on mortgage interest rates. The reverse is also true. If bond yields decrease then the spread widens and there is downwards pressure on fixed rate mortgages.

Bond Yields For Monday August 10th, 2009

Canadian 5 yr bond yields +0.05bps to 2.72 – Four weeks ago it was 2.39%. The spread, based on 5 yr fixed rate mortgage of 4.29%,  is at 1.57%.

Pressure on fixed 5 year: up.
Financial Post – Markets

Lenders typically like to keep a spread of 1.80% to 2.00% between their fixed five year rates and the current 5 year bond yield. If the bond yield increases then the spread will shrink putting upward pressure on mortgage interest rates. The reverse is also true. If bond yields decrease then the spread widens and there is downwards pressure on fixed rate mortgages.

I Hate Paying Mortgage Interest – Episode # 7 Character

Bond Yield For Friday July 31, 2009

Canadian 5 yr bond yields +0.03bps to 2.68- Four weeks ago it was 2.45%. The spread, based on 5 yr fixed rate mortgage of 4.39%,  is at 1.71%.

Pressure on fixed 5 year: Up.
Financial Post – Markets

Lenders typically like to keep a spread of 1.80% to 2.00% between their fixed five year rates and the current 5 year bond yield. If the bond yield increases then the spread will shrink putting upward pressure on mortgage interest rates. The reverse is also true. If bond yields decrease then the spread widens and there is downwards pressure on fixed rate mortgages.

Mortgage Interest Rates Are Overpriced

In my post yesterday, I mentioned in point #4 that mortgage interest rates are overpriced. To flesh out that statement I found this great interview.

The following is a link to a great video blog on the Globe & Mail website by Financial editor Rob Carrick. In it he interviews author of the Canadian Mortgage Trends blog and fellow mortgage planner, Rob McLister.

Rob’s comments & position in the interview are very insightful.